【好展會(huì)網(wǎng)  貿(mào)易投資專(zhuān)題】 <p>上海市工商聯(lián)收藏俱樂(lè)部理事長(zhǎng)：劉超<br /> </p> <p>如今社會(huì)上流行這樣一句話，叫做：你不理財(cái)，財(cái)不理你。那么，現(xiàn)在我們?cè)趺蠢碡?cái)呢？ <br /> <br /> <br /> 其實(shí)，目前的社會(huì)，投資理財(cái)?shù)臋C(jī)會(huì)很多，你可以去投資黃金和基金；也可以去投資股票和債券；更可以發(fā)揮你的聰明才智去涉足國(guó)債和外匯；當(dāng)然了，如果你把錢(qián)放進(jìn)銀行或者去買(mǎi)保險(xiǎn)，也不失為一種理性的投資方式。但是，在這八大投資熱點(diǎn)外，是否還有第九個(gè)投資熱點(diǎn)呢？ <br /> <br /> <br /> 筆者以為：有！那就是投資古玩藝術(shù)品。 <br /> 本世紀(jì)目前的三大投資熱點(diǎn)是：股票、房地產(chǎn)和古玩藝術(shù)品。雖然前兩項(xiàng)投資讓資本者趨之若鶩，驚喜交加，但房?jī)r(jià)和股價(jià)在上上下下的波動(dòng)中變化太大，變數(shù)太多，其中的甜酸苦辣非常人所能理解。然而，在收藏領(lǐng)域，要是這件古玩藝術(shù)品你看準(zhǔn)了，買(mǎi)對(duì)了，那么，其投資價(jià)值在古玩藝術(shù)品本身的文化價(jià)值的推動(dòng)下，會(huì)有相當(dāng)可觀的利潤(rùn)。如2001年，上海敬華拍賣(mài)公司的首次拍賣(mài)活動(dòng)中，一款明永樂(lè)青花折枝花卉八方燭臺(tái)作為拍賣(mài)圖錄的封面被隆重推出，經(jīng)過(guò)幾十輪的激烈競(jìng)標(biāo)，最終以880萬(wàn)元成交。四年后，當(dāng)此燭臺(tái)出現(xiàn)在北京翰海拍賣(mài)公司的春拍中時(shí)，被藏家以2035萬(wàn)元的價(jià)格買(mǎi)走。一只燭臺(tái)，一件古玩藝術(shù)品，投資四年后的利潤(rùn)達(dá)到了131%。 <br /> 由此可見(jiàn)，投資古玩藝術(shù)品的利潤(rùn)是豐厚的。 <br /> <br /> <br /> 為何如此認(rèn)為呢？因?yàn)椋S著經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展，我們現(xiàn)在投資古玩藝術(shù)品有著天時(shí)、地利、人和的優(yōu)越條件。所謂天時(shí)，目前正逢盛世，而盛世收藏乃是一個(gè)社會(huì)繁榮昌盛的標(biāo)志。我國(guó)自上世紀(jì)80年代改革開(kāi)放以來(lái)，經(jīng)濟(jì)飛速發(fā)展，社會(huì)日益進(jìn)步，人民安居樂(lè)業(yè)，自然有了收藏的大好環(huán)境。所以，20多年前發(fā)展起來(lái)的民間收藏隊(duì)伍如今已有7000萬(wàn)之多；至于地利，則是名副其實(shí)。自古以來(lái)，上海乃是四海之通衢的交通要道，來(lái)往方便，自然是貨源充足，形成了一個(gè)多元化的收藏者層次和市場(chǎng)，有了玩家就有市場(chǎng)，有市場(chǎng)就會(huì)有投資機(jī)會(huì)。而人和就是我們今天所強(qiáng)調(diào)的和諧社會(huì)之要義。一個(gè)和諧的社會(huì)必定是經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的社會(huì)，于是，在古玩收藏中進(jìn)行投資就有了社會(huì)和經(jīng)濟(jì)基礎(chǔ)。 <br /> <br /> <br /> 近兩年來(lái)，據(jù)專(zhuān)家分析，古董投資的利潤(rùn)是48%，而股票的投資利潤(rùn)則是37%。下面我們就收藏品投資行為與投機(jī)行為的特點(diǎn)列表進(jìn)行比較：</p> <p> <table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="700" border="1"> &nbsp; &nbsp; <tbody> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="114"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p></p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p><strong> 投 資 行 為 </strong></p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p><strong> 投 機(jī) 行 為 </strong></p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="114"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 交易目的</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 獲得穩(wěn)定的收益</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 在短期內(nèi)獲得差額利潤(rùn)</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="114"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 承擔(dān)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 比較小</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 比較大</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="114"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 決策依據(jù)</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 價(jià)值分析為主</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 市場(chǎng)分析為主</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="114"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 持有時(shí)間</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 比較長(zhǎng)</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <td valign="top" width="227"> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; <p> 比較短</p> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </td> &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; </tr> &nbsp; &nbsp; </tbody> </table> </p> <p>從表中我們可以看到，投資古玩的大收益和小風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。當(dāng)然，其前提是本人懂行和有行家替你掌眼。 <br /> <br /> <br /> 有著廣泛收藏群體的中國(guó)隨著社會(huì)的進(jìn)步和經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展，古玩藝術(shù)品價(jià)格的增長(zhǎng)是一種正常的現(xiàn)象，而且，其成交價(jià)位的繼續(xù)走高也是勢(shì)在必行的，所以，投資古玩正當(dāng)其時(shí)。</p>
(好展會(huì)網(wǎng)  貿(mào)易投資專(zhuān)題  )